StrikeRadar - US-Iran strike probability monitor

Real-time risk scores across 8 signal categories, aggregated into a composite strike probability.

Risk scores are algorithmic estimates from publicly available data, not intelligence assessments. Do not use for personal, financial, or safety decisions. Wraps StrikeRadar by Yonatan Back.

Quick Start

No dependencies needed. Run directly:

npx tsx {baseDir}/scripts/strikeradar.ts status

Commands

Status

npx tsx {baseDir}/scripts/strikeradar.ts status

Returns: total_risk (0-100%), per-signal risk + detail, last_updated.

Signal deep-dive

npx tsx {baseDir}/scripts/strikeradar.ts signal <name>

Valid signals: news, connectivity, energy, flight, tanker, weather, polymarket, pentagon

What each signal tracks:

• news - article alerts from BBC/Al Jazeera, alert_count, total_count
• connectivity - Iran internet status via Cloudflare Radar
• energy - Brent crude price, volatility, market status
• flight - aircraft count near Iran, key airline presence
• tanker - military refueling tanker detection, callsigns
• weather - conditions over Iran (visibility matters for strikes)
• polymarket - betting market odds for US strike
• pentagon - building activity level and patterns

Pulse

npx tsx {baseDir}/scripts/strikeradar.ts pulse

Returns: watching_now, activity_level, surge multiplier, country breakdown.

Agent Usage

All commands return JSON with next_actions when output is piped:

npx tsx {baseDir}/scripts/strikeradar.ts status | cat