Catalyst Calendar

Forward-looking event tracker. Identifies upcoming catalysts and surfaces pre-positioning opportunities before the market prices them in.

What Counts as a Catalyst

• Macro: Fed decisions, CPI prints, GDP data, regulatory announcements
• Crypto-specific: Protocol upgrades, halving events, token unlocks, mainnet launches
• Exchange: Binance/Coinbase/Kraken new listings, futures launches
• Regulatory: ETF approvals/rejections, SEC/CFTC rulings, country-level bans or legalization
• Conferences: Major industry events (ETHDenver, Consensus, Binance Blockchain Week, NVIDIA GTC, etc.)
• Earnings/Partnerships: Public company earnings with crypto exposure (Coinbase, MicroStrategy, Marathon)

Calendar Storage

Stored at: ~/.openclaw/workspace/trading/catalyst-calendar.json

{
  "events": [
    {
      "id": "evt-001",
      "date": "2026-03-19",
      "event": "FOMC Rate Decision",
      "category": "macro",
      "impact": "high",
      "affected_assets": ["BTC", "ETH", "all"],
      "pre_position_days": 3,
      "notes": "Rate hold expected — risk-on if confirmed",
      "source": "federalreserve.gov"
    },
    {
      "id": "evt-002",
      "date": "2026-04-10",
      "event": "Ethereum Pectra Upgrade",
      "category": "protocol",
      "impact": "high",
      "affected_assets": ["ETH", "staking tokens"],
      "pre_position_days": 14,
      "notes": "EIP-7251 — raises validator limit, reduces sell pressure",
      "source": "ethereum.org"
    }
  ]
}

Usage

View upcoming catalysts (next 14 days)

List upcoming catalysts from trading/catalyst-calendar.json for the next 14 days. Flag any where pre_position_days window is now open.

Add new event

Add to catalyst-calendar.json: [event details]

Weekly scan (find new catalysts)

Search for upcoming crypto and macro events this week. Update catalyst-calendar.json with any new high-impact events in the next 30 days.

Alert Logic

When today's date is within pre_position_days of an event:

📅 CATALYST ALERT — 7 days to Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
  Date: 2026-04-10
  Impact: HIGH
  Affected: ETH, staking tokens
  Pre-position window: OPEN NOW
  Notes: EIP-7251 — raises validator limit, reduces sell pressure
  Action: Review ETH position vs threshold-watcher signal

Cron Integration

• Weekly scan (Monday 07:00 UTC): scrape upcoming events, update calendar
• Daily check (07:00 UTC): flag events where pre-position window opens today

Integration with Trading Pipeline

• Outputs feed skill-crypto-threshold-watcher (set tighter thresholds near high-impact events)
• Logged to skill-trading-journal as context for trade decisions
• Informs backtest-expert on regime conditions (pre/post catalyst)