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Macro Economic Model

运行ALM资产负债管理模拟,生成组合收益、现金流报告,并通过Smith-Wilson方法校准EIOPA风险自由收益率曲线进行企业债券定价。。
运行ALM资产负债模拟,生成收益与现金流报告,并用Smith‑Wilson方法校准EIOPA风险自由收益率曲线以进行企业债券定价。
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#doramagic-crystal#finance#insurance#latest#portfolio#risk

概述

宏观经济模型 (macro-economic-model)

> 运行ALM资产负债管理模拟,生成组合收益、现金流报告,并通过Smith-Wilson方法校准EIOPA风险自由收益率曲线进行企业债券定价。

Pipeline

data_collection -> data_storage -> factor_computation -> target_selection -> trading_execution -> visualization

Top Use Cases (13 total)

ALM Portfolio Summary Report Generator (UC-101)

Running a comprehensive Asset-Liability Management (ALM) simulation and visualizing portfolio returns, cash flows, and EIOPA yield curves for a mixed

Triggers: ALM simulation, portfolio summary, yield curve visualization

ALM Cash Flow Visualization Dashboard (UC-111)

Creating visual summaries of ALM simulation results including dividend, coupon, liability cash flows, notional returns, and terminal cash flows over t

Triggers: cash flow charts, portfolio visualization, ALM reporting

EIOPA Risk-Free Curve Projection and Calibration (UC-102)

Projecting forward interest rates and calibrating the EIOPA risk-free yield curve for long-term insurance liability discounting using Smith-Wilson met

Triggers: EIOPA curve, forward rate projection, yield curve calibration

For all 13 use cases, see references/USE_CASES.md.

Execute trigger: When user intent matches intent_router.uc_entries[].positive_terms AND user uses action verb (run/execute/跑/执行/backtest/fetch/collect)

What I'll Ask You

  • Target market: A-share (default), HK, or crypto? (US stocks in ZVT are half-baked — stockus_nasdaq_AAPL exists but coverage is thin)
  • Data source / provider: eastmoney (free, no account), joinquant (account+paid), baostock (free, good history), akshare, or qmt (broker)?
  • Strategy type: MACD golden-cross, MA crossover, volume breakout, fundamental screen, or custom factor?
  • Time range: start_timestamp and end_timestamp for backtest period
  • Target entity IDs: specific stocks (stock_sh_600000) or index components (SZ1000)?

Semantic Locks (Fatal)

IDRuleOn Violation
---------
SL-01Execute sell orders before buy orders in every trading cyclehalt
SL-02Trading signals MUST use next-bar execution (no look-ahead)halt
SL-03Entity IDs MUST follow format entity_type_exchange_codehalt
SL-04DataFrame index MUST be MultiIndex (entity_id, timestamp)halt
SL-05TradingSignal MUST have EXACTLY ONE of: position_pct, order_money, order_amounthalt
SL-06filter_result column semantics: True=BUY, False=SELL, None/NaN=NO ACTIONhalt
SL-07Transformer MUST run BEFORE Accumulator in factor pipelinehalt
SL-08MACD parameters locked: fast=12, slow=26, signal=9halt

Full lock definitions: references/LOCKS.md

Top Anti-Patterns (14 total)

  • AP-MACRO-DATA-001: SEC EDGAR Rate Limit Violation
  • AP-MACRO-DATA-002: Temporal Knowledge Graph Look-Ahead Bias
  • AP-MACRO-DATA-003: Technical Indicator Look-Ahead Bias via Missing Shift

All 14 anti-patterns: references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md

Evidence Quality Notice

> [QUALITY NOTICE] This crystal was compiled from blueprint finance-bp-077. Evidence verify ratio = 42.6% and audit fail total = 34. Generated results may have uncaptured requirement gaps. Verify critical decisions against source files (LATEST.yaml / LATEST.jsonl).

Reference Files

FileContentsWhen to Load
---------
references/seed.yamlV6+ 全量权威 (source-of-truth)有行为/决策争议时必读
references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md14 条跨项目反模式开始实现前
references/WISDOM.md跨项目精华借鉴架构决策时
references/CONSTRAINTS.mddomain + fatal 约束规则冲突时
references/USE_CASES.md全量 KUC-* 业务场景需要完整示例时
references/LOCKS.mdSL-* + preconditions + hints生成回测/交易代码前
references/COMPONENTS.mdAST 组件地图(按 module 拆分)查 API 时

Compiled by Doramagic crystal-compilation-v6.1 from finance-bp-077 blueprint at 2026-04-22T13:00:28.955724+00:00.

See human_summary.md for non-technical overview.

版本历史

共 1 个版本

  • v0.3.3 当前
    2026-05-07 08:46 安全 安全

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